Uptober: BTC has closed green in 10 of the last 13 Octobers. But we’ve got a potential Fed hike on Oct 27 and 10Y yields over 5%. Does the pattern hold this year?

Just looking at the data, October has historically been one of BTC’s strongest months. Green in 10 out of 13 years. But 2025 broke the streak with a ~4% loss, and this year we’ve got some serious macro headwinds. Fed meeting Oct 27-28 with markets pricing 65-70% chance of a rate hike, 10Y treasury yields above 5%, and BTC just got rejected hard at $87K. On the other hand, ETF inflows have been strong ($2.65B in the last 6 days), whale accumulation is insane, and exchange reserves are at all-time lows. So what wins, seasonality and on-chain data, or macro? How are you positioning for October?